Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.026406 0.028471 0.030549 0.032792 0.035143 0.037532 0.040138
2025-12-14 0.022156 0.025228 0.028427 0.031995 0.035850 0.039878 0.044395
2025-12-21 0.019409 0.023055 0.026953 0.031405 0.036324 0.041569 0.047560
2025-12-28 0.018188 0.022349 0.026892 0.032177 0.038115 0.044542 0.051984
2026-01-04 0.016783 0.021293 0.026314 0.032255 0.039033 0.046466 0.055178
2026-01-11 0.015502 0.020274 0.025684 0.032187 0.039708 0.048055 0.057942
2026-01-18 0.014903 0.019997 0.025860 0.032999 0.041350 0.050707 0.061883
2026-01-25 0.013844 0.019100 0.025251 0.032843 0.041828 0.051997 0.064248
2026-02-01 0.012942 0.018339 0.024755 0.032777 0.042374 0.053335 0.066645
2026-02-08 0.012059 0.017551 0.024183 0.032580 0.042732 0.054428 0.068738
2026-02-15 0.011270 0.016839 0.023666 0.032414 0.043099 0.055509 0.070801
2026-02-22 0.010581 0.016219 0.023232 0.032324 0.043532 0.056651 0.072920
2026-03-01 0.009602 0.015223 0.022351 0.031729 0.043429 0.057259 0.074548
2026-03-08 0.008599 0.014152 0.021340 0.030949 0.043091 0.057587 0.075865
2026-03-15 0.007772 0.013266 0.020524 0.030372 0.042967 0.058146 0.077434
2026-03-22 0.007529 0.013180 0.020750 0.031127 0.044503 0.060725 0.081443
2026-03-29 0.007055 0.012734 0.020470 0.031203 0.045170 0.062231 0.084149
2026-04-05 0.006567 0.012238 0.020097 0.031136 0.045637 0.063479 0.086537
2026-04-12 0.006408 0.012222 0.020376 0.031932 0.047210 0.066105 0.090621
2026-04-19 0.005949 0.011723 0.019962 0.031778 0.047544 0.067175 0.092788
2026-04-26 0.005552 0.011294 0.019625 0.031714 0.047980 0.068366 0.095100
2026-05-03 0.005144 0.010823 0.019209 0.031521 0.048234 0.069317 0.097109
2026-05-10 0.004773 0.010389 0.018827 0.031359 0.048517 0.070296 0.099148